Regime & Allocation
Bonds & Currency
Interest rates and currency trends with trend analysis. Weak dollar = bullish for commodities and emerging markets.
Questions Answered
Q1.6 What is the interest rate trajectory?
Q2.6 Bonds vs equities — which has stronger momentum?
Q1.2 Risk-on or risk-off indicators?
Dollar Weakness Impact
DXY breakdown below chandelier stop is bullish for: Commodities, Emerging Markets, Gold, and International Equities.
Rising Yields
US 10Y yield in a rising channel since 2020 lows. Rising yields pressure growth stocks and long-duration assets.
USD/INR
Rupee depreciation trend continues but softening dollar globally provides some relief for Indian markets.
Fetching bonds & currency data...
Frameworks Applied
Ray Dalio: Rate regime identification — growth/inflation quadrant determines optimal bond allocation
Martin Zweig: Fed Model — compare earnings yield vs bond yield to gauge equity attractiveness
Raoul Pal: Yield curve dynamics — inversion signals recession risk, steepening signals recovery